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| The Marginalization of the VCs, AKA :The Art of the Incremental | |||||
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"...VCs can't teach them what they need to know. The only way to learn
is through constant, low-stakes experiments, by keeping plenty of options
open and then following up on the ones that prove the most lucrative."
Venture capitalists are not precisely marginalized, but , on the other
hand, they are no longer the white hot center of the online universe.
The VCs themselves are being much more selective and circumspect about
which companies they invest in, and many entrepreneurs and companies alike
have taken on a new caution about approaching VCs.
The VC Experience: Get It Right the First Time or Crash to the Rocks
Below
There are several reasons for this.First, when the dot coms started to
tank, falling domino fashion from April 2000 forward, venture capitalists
suddenly were scrambling to prop up their best bets, save those puppies,
and cut loose those struggling dot coms whose heads keep bobbing below
water, even if it meant shoving them down for the last count with your
boot.
Perhaps, not literally. But figuratively, for sure. When a VC tells you
it's ok to have a $2 million or $10 million a month "burn rate", just
come back in six months for more cash, then stops taking your calls, pulls
up the drawbridge and throws alligators and red meat in the moat, you
may feel like someone stepped on your head when you were underwater, even
though all they really did was cut off the money spigot.
The Value of The Learning Experience Depends On What You Learn
As naive and,perhaps, provincial as it may sound, many of the company
founders and first teams who signed on, worked 20 hour days, created something
of value out of mere imagination and technology, put in plenty of blood,
sweat and tears and deserved better. But this is the real world......we
can feel that cold water hitting us in the face and, in fact splashing
all over us......and we must learn to face facts. The entire funding episode,
as painful as it may have been for those dot coms who crashed, amounted
to an incredible learning experience.
Unfortunately, it was not a learning experience about the business itself.
That was something else, that went along on a parallel track. If many
of these businesses had time to mature, they probably would have continued
to make one mid-course correction after another, until they came to a
business model that worked, and, bit by bit, sale by sale, they could
have achieved success.
What they learned, was that a venture capitalist only cares about money.
And that might be a good characteristic for a visionary net pioneer to
acquire. If he could only learn to marry a VC's single mindedness and
financial sophistication with his own vision, drive and determination,
a great company might be born. That is, in fact, how many great companies
are born. But in these extremely truncated life cycles, there is no time
to mature slowly and learn from experience. You either get it right the
first time or crash from the cliff onto the rocks below.
And the VC doesn't just care about money, he cares about getting his
return in 18 to 24 months, and he's not terribly interested in a business
which can't achieve $30 million a year in revenue, because his ideal scenario
is an IPO which takes him out of the business and puts the public in it
within that time frame.
The Alternative
Established companies and entrepreneurs both are taking a look at approaching
the Net differently. They are doing two things: first, they are analyzing
the true nature of their unique assets and deciding how they can become
a basis for a business. Second, "they are trying various approaches to
extract value from those assets. Only through constant small-scale testing
of the business in the actual marketplace do they determine what actually
works," according to Eric Schonfled in Ecompany magazine.
Eureka. That sounds like a formula for success. It is what has worked
for entrepreneurs for centuries, before they had any venture capitalists
to loan them money or tell them it was ok to have a burn rate. A burn
rate used to mean you might not have food on the table for your family
and even a lowly entrepreneur knew that was not a good thing.
Analyze Your Assets: Look for Your Unique Value Proposition
You start by looking at the particular way in which you are smart. Being
smart about specific, marketable things has value; it is "the raw material
from which financial results are produced". This is true whether you are
an individual or a company. Over time you will have developed a way of
doing some things better than others. H&R Block knows their client's financial
lives. Amazon.com has accumulated data about our taste in books, our credit
cards, who we give presents to, our range of interests. Vanity Fair lures
us with both style and gossip. Each of them excels in their own niche
and, having determined what it is they do well, they keep honing their
skills in order to do it better.
Assess Your Competitor's Strengths and Develop A Strategy
Once you have decided what your assets are.......what is your unique
value proposition.....then you must assess your competitor's strengths
in order to avoid competing with them in an area where they are as strong
or stronger than you.
Let us say, for example, that you have been a consultant for small businesses
in the Dallas area for a number of years, and have a roladex full of clients
and prospective clients. Potentially, you have a lucrative business on
your hands.
You determine fairly quickly you don't want to compete with banks, lending
agencies or stock brokerages, all of which are bigger, better financed
with deeper knowledge and more resources and contacts than you have.
What you do have is a lot of knowledge in the area and a way of relating
to people that creates trust. The question becomes one of determining
how to maximize and extract that value. The name Suze Orman springs to
mind. She knows a lot about markets and money, although probably not so
much as Merrill Lynch or Charles Schwab but she is also photogenic and
personable; she has managed to extract value from that. How do you go
about extracting value in somewhat the same way?
Zeroing In, One Step At A Time, Then Upping the Ante
Do you hold a series of seminars throughout the State?
Do you upscale, perhaps working in tandem with a couple of stock brokerages
and launch a major conference with nation wide advertising?
Do you write a book and market it over the Net, and with a book signing
tour of all the Barnes and Nobles, and Borders book stores?
Do you launch a website for small businesses, complete with free advice,
email and chat rooms with streaming videos of your cutting edge presentations
on small business strategies?
Before the dot com crash, it is entirely possible you would have developed
a grand plan, convinced a VC, hired on a team, plowed money into a huge
ad budget , cranked out a lot of publicity, and tried to do all four.
Today, some of the smartest of the new breed are doing things differently.
They are starting, for example, as a speaker on someone else's circuit,
selling books in the lobby to see how it goes. They may move on to holding
a series of seminars. The trick, according to management strategist Michael
Treacy, author of Discipline of Market Leaders" is to lower risks and
maximize learning by taking a series of quick incremental steps. As each
one is successful, you up the ante." And pretty soon you're Suze Orman.
And this is another way VCs are being marginalized. As Eric Schonfled
notes in Ecompany magazine's Trial and Error, " Companies won't give equity
to venture capitalists anymore because they will realize that, while they
could use some more adventurous spirits, the VCs can't teach them what
they need to know. The only way to learn is through constant, low-stakes
experiments, by keeping plenty of options open and then following up on
the ones that prove the most lucrative."
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